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	<title>Comments on: Stessed Out About &#8220;Stress Testing&#8221;?</title>
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		<title>By: Michael P</title>
		<link>http://afs-seminars.com/blog/?p=246&#038;cpage=1#comment-527</link>
		<dc:creator>Michael P</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 09 May 2009 17:06:44 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>Mike,

Thanks as always for your insight; I&#039;ve just about pulled all my collective hair out watching the market shrug off sign after sign that the economy is in no way shape or form truly recovering.

I’m still trying to figure out the safest play for inflation because as Chris M. mentioned above sitting in cash, especially at a quarter of one percent or less interest is a lousy return, but still beats the losses in SDS I took awaiting a retest of lows, alas, I&#039;d like to get into more SDS at the current price, but the herd mentality has me second guessing if that is the right move, especially since the market continues to &quot;pee itself&quot; over very bad, but not “catastrophic” news?!? 
 
My simplified rookie guess to the markets continued rise, is threefold: 

a. Direct and Indirect Government manipulation 

b. Stimulus working some key numbers higher

c. Average investors on the sidelines may feel like they are missing the next bull market with all this &quot;green shoots&quot; speak, as they continue to reenter the market stocks push higher until...

…until, I guess the unanswerable $64,000 question is when does the market reach the cliff&#039;s edge?

Enjoy your weekend!
MP-40</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Mike,</p>
<p>Thanks as always for your insight; I&#8217;ve just about pulled all my collective hair out watching the market shrug off sign after sign that the economy is in no way shape or form truly recovering.</p>
<p>I’m still trying to figure out the safest play for inflation because as Chris M. mentioned above sitting in cash, especially at a quarter of one percent or less interest is a lousy return, but still beats the losses in SDS I took awaiting a retest of lows, alas, I&#8217;d like to get into more SDS at the current price, but the herd mentality has me second guessing if that is the right move, especially since the market continues to &#8220;pee itself&#8221; over very bad, but not “catastrophic” news?!? </p>
<p>My simplified rookie guess to the markets continued rise, is threefold: </p>
<p>a. Direct and Indirect Government manipulation </p>
<p>b. Stimulus working some key numbers higher</p>
<p>c. Average investors on the sidelines may feel like they are missing the next bull market with all this &#8220;green shoots&#8221; speak, as they continue to reenter the market stocks push higher until&#8230;</p>
<p>…until, I guess the unanswerable $64,000 question is when does the market reach the cliff&#8217;s edge?</p>
<p>Enjoy your weekend!<br />
MP-40</p>
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		<title>By: Chris M</title>
		<link>http://afs-seminars.com/blog/?p=246&#038;cpage=1#comment-507</link>
		<dc:creator>Chris M</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 07 May 2009 18:50:20 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>Nicely articulated, and I appreciate your thoughts. Your point about the fundamentals being irrelevant to the herd mentality in this market certainly rings true.

General thoughts - obviously, there&#039;s been a serious amount of money that&#039;s been pumped into the system and it has to go somewhere. That said, i think it will take alot of luck for the &quot;little guy&quot; to get it right and prosper -  there&#039;s just too much mis-information/manipulation/on- the-fly rule changing propogated by the central banks,  politicians, media, and the large funds/banks for me to feel even remotely comfortable investing my cash. The problem is that i dont want to be sitting on a wad of cash with the inflation monster on the horizon. Depressing. 

Just a thought  - have you considered publishing your thoughts on seekingalpha.com? It&#039;s a great portal with some really bright folks provding articles and commentary, and i think you&#039;d be a highly rated contributor. Check it out. 

Regards! 

Chris</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Nicely articulated, and I appreciate your thoughts. Your point about the fundamentals being irrelevant to the herd mentality in this market certainly rings true.</p>
<p>General thoughts &#8211; obviously, there&#8217;s been a serious amount of money that&#8217;s been pumped into the system and it has to go somewhere. That said, i think it will take alot of luck for the &#8220;little guy&#8221; to get it right and prosper &#8211;  there&#8217;s just too much mis-information/manipulation/on- the-fly rule changing propogated by the central banks,  politicians, media, and the large funds/banks for me to feel even remotely comfortable investing my cash. The problem is that i dont want to be sitting on a wad of cash with the inflation monster on the horizon. Depressing. </p>
<p>Just a thought  &#8211; have you considered publishing your thoughts on seekingalpha.com? It&#8217;s a great portal with some really bright folks provding articles and commentary, and i think you&#8217;d be a highly rated contributor. Check it out. </p>
<p>Regards! </p>
<p>Chris</p>
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